By R. J. Ball (auth.)
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Extra resources for Money and Employment
First it was believed that financial probity required the government to balance its books on current account - that is to say that government expenditure should be roughly offset by the income it collected in taxes. The rights and wrongs of this are discussed subsequently in this book. The point to note here is simply that this belief was widely held and had a distinct influence on behaviour. Of course governments in general do not finance their expenditure out of taxation and the British Government during the twenties was no exception to the rule.
There did appear to be an upturn in America in 1937 but, although the situation had improved, it began to peter out in the following year. Regrettably the buoyant component of demand that put some life into the world economy was the growth of rearmament as the spectre of the Second World War began to rear its ugly head. What should one conclude from this disastrous episode? At one time there was broad agreement that the commercial policies pursued by individual countries in response to the recession were totally inappropriate.
Protection led to falling imports which led to falling exports, and by 1933 the combination of the fall in world demand, the competitive depreciation of currencies, and the extension of tariff barriers and quantitative controls, resulted in the volume of manufactured goods traded falling to about 50 per cent of its 1929 level. It was an ominous year in which National Socialism in Germany came to power. Not for the first time was it demonstrated that economics and politics are interdependent. From 1933 onwards there was moderate improvement.